Tallinna Kalev vs FC Flora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
49.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
5º
9º
7º
55
3º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 84 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 74 |
2º
|
82% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 68 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 66 |
4º
|
70% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 45 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 30 |
9º
|
71% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 21 |
10º
|
98% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 72.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
90% | 27.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tallinna Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TAL
0 - 2
KAL
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
NOM
0 - 2
TAL
54%
22%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 2
LEV
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 2
TAL
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 1
TAL
58%
21%
21%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KUR
2 - 2
FLO
22%
24%
54%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 2
KAL
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 3
PAI
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 3
FLO
14%
22%
64%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 1
FLO
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |