Tallinna Kalev vs FC Flora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
47.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
5º
9º
7º
55
3º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 84 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 74 |
2º
|
82% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 68 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 66 |
4º
|
70% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 45 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 30 |
9º
|
71% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 21 |
10º
|
98% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 72.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
90% | 27.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tallinna Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 2
TAL
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
TAL
2 - 0
NOM
37%
23%
39%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 0
TRA
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
PAI
2 - 0
TAL
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
TAL
0 - 3
FLO
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 0
KUR
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 3
FLO
12%
21%
67%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 1
PAR
81%
13%
5%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 0
LEV
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
TAL
0 - 3
FLO
26%
25%
49%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |