Tallinna Kalev vs FC Flora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
72.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
3º
6º
4º
79
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tallinna Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
HJP
0 - 2
TAL
63%
19%
18%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
TAL
0 - 0
KAL
18%
24%
58%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
TAL
0 - 1
TRA
40%
23%
38%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VJK
1 - 1
TAL
49%
22%
28%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
FCE
0 - 0
TAL
45%
23%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
FLO
5 - 0
TRA
81%
14%
6%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
FLO
4 - 0
HJP
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 3
PAI
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
LSK
2 - 2
FLO
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FLO
4 - 2
TRA
78%
14%
8%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |