Tallinna Kalev II vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
47.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tallinna Kalev II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
FLO
4 - 1
TKA
87%
9%
4%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
TJK
2 - 0
TKA
83%
11%
6%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
TKA
1 - 6
RAK
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2019 |
TAM
1 - 0
TKA
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
TKA
0 - 4
FCE
41%
25%
35%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 2
TJK
18%
20%
63%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
JKJ
1 - 1
PAR
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
LEV
0 - 3
PAR
63%
19%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
PAR
5 - 0
RAK
62%
19%
19%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2019 |
PAR
5 - 1
WEL
75%
15%
11%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |