Tallinna Kalev II vs Paide II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
20.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
9º
8º
16
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 78 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 70 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 69 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 62 |
4º
|
74.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 49 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 48 |
6º
|
40% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 36 |
8º
|
82% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 24 |
9º
|
82.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 19 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
16.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
82% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 99% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tallinna Kalev II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
VJK
6 - 0
TKA
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 6
TKA
18%
18%
63%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FCT
2 - 2
TKA
68%
18%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 3
TKA
79%
13%
8%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +2 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TKA
2 - 2
FCE
58%
21%
21%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
TAB
1 - 3
PAI
52%
20%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 2
WEL
21%
22%
57%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FCT
3 - 0
PAI
72%
16%
12%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PAI
3 - 1
LEV
25%
23%
52%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +2 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
TKA
3 - 5
PAI
66%
17%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |