Tallinna Kalev II vs Paide II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
16.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
9º
8º
16
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 78 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 70 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 69 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 62 |
4º
|
74.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 49 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 48 |
6º
|
40% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 36 |
8º
|
82% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 24 |
9º
|
82.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 19 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
16.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
82% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 99% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tallinna Kalev II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
5 - 2
TKA
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
VJK
3 - 1
TKA
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
TKA
0 - 1
TAB
59%
20%
21%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
TKA
1 - 3
LEV
38%
24%
39%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TKA
4 - 0
FCE
58%
21%
21%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 2
FCE
49%
22%
29%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
HJP
6 - 0
PAI
80%
13%
7%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 11
FLO
23%
22%
54%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
PAI
0 - 5
VJK
23%
25%
52%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
FCT
8 - 1
PAI
66%
18%
16%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |