Tallinna Kalev II vs Harju JK Laagri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
56.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
9º
8º
59
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 76 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 72 |
2º
|
43% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 70 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 59 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 51 |
5º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 50 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 44 |
7º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 36 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 22 |
9º
|
84.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 17 |
10º
|
85% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 70.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 19.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
8% | 10% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
91% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tallinna Kalev II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LEV
0 - 3
TKA
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
TKA
2 - 5
TAZ
73%
14%
12%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TKA
3 - 0
PAI
61%
19%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
VJK
6 - 0
TKA
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 6
TKA
18%
18%
63%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HJP
1 - 1
WEL
61%
20%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
HJP
3 - 0
NOM
51%
21%
29%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 3
HJP
49%
22%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 15
HJP
3%
7%
89%
|
65 | 8 | 57 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HJP
2 - 1
FCT
57%
22%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |