FCI Tallinn vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCI Tallinn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 2
TIN
31%
23%
46%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
TIN
1 - 2
LEV
20%
23%
58%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LOT
1 - 3
TIN
42%
22%
36%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
TIN
1 - 1
FCP
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
WAR
0 - 4
TIN
33%
23%
45%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 2
TIN
31%
23%
46%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
TJK
0 - 1
PAR
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LEV
1 - 1
PAR
88%
9%
3%
|
35 | 68 | 33 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 0
LOT
41%
24%
36%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
FCP
1 - 1
PAR
75%
15%
10%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |