FCI Tallinn vs Ararat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
5.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCI Tallinn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
TIN
2 - 0
FCP
75%
15%
10%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
FLO
1 - 2
TIN
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
TIN
4 - 1
RAK
69%
17%
14%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
TIN
3 - 1
FLO
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
TAR
3 - 2
TIN
25%
23%
53%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Ararat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 2
ALK
72%
16%
12%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
FCA
3 - 2
KUR
32%
23%
45%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
KAI
0 - 1
FCA
55%
20%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
FCA
2 - 1
TDU
53%
21%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
FCA
4 - 2
TJK
49%
22%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |