Tallinna Reaal vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
70%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tallinna Reaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
TIN
12 - 1
TRE
81%
13%
6%
|
7 | 53 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
TJK
3 - 1
PAR
50%
22%
28%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 3
TIN
29%
23%
49%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 3
KIV
26%
22%
52%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
FLO
1 - 1
PAR
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
WAR
2 - 3
PAR
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |