Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 1-4
Talavera CF vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
64.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Talavera CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
TAL
1 - 1
AVI
45%
28%
28%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
MLL
0 - 1
TAL
54%
23%
24%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
TAL
0 - 1
DEP
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
CEL
4 - 3
TAL
31%
28%
40%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
TAL
1 - 0
ASP
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
VCF
2 - 4
VAD
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1996 |
VAD
0 - 1
SEV
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
LOG
0 - 1
VAD
45%
27%
29%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
VAD
3 - 1
COM
57%
25%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
CDT
1 - 3
VAD
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |