Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-1
Talavera CF vs Manzanares CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Talavera CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1993 |
MAN
1 - 1
TAL
52%
24%
24%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1993 |
TAL
3 - 1
CIU
82%
13%
5%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
AZU
2 - 3
TAL
22%
28%
50%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1993 |
TAL
4 - 0
PED
80%
14%
5%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1993 |
TOR
1 - 1
TAL
24%
29%
48%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Manzanares CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1993 |
MAN
1 - 1
TAL
52%
24%
24%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1993 |
MAN
5 - 3
PED
74%
17%
9%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
TOR
1 - 1
MAN
35%
28%
37%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1993 |
MAN
2 - 1
PUE
61%
23%
17%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1993 |
GIM
0 - 2
MAN
60%
23%
17%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |