Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-4
Talavera CF vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
48.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Talavera CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
ALC
3 - 3
TAL
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
TAL
2 - 2
QUI
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1969 |
HER
1 - 0
TAL
85%
10%
5%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
PEG
1 - 0
TAL
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
TAL
3 - 2
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
HER
4 - 1
UNI
85%
11%
4%
|
55 | 29 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
GRA
0 - 0
HER
27%
30%
44%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1969 |
HER
1 - 0
TAL
85%
10%
5%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
HER
1 - 0
CAF
88%
10%
3%
|
55 | 23 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
ORI
0 - 1
HER
27%
29%
44%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |