Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 5-4
Talavera CF vs CD Gimnastico Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
+5
8.2%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
3.2%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Talavera CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
TAL
2 - 2
RMC
45%
30%
26%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
CFP
3 - 1
TAL
69%
21%
10%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
TAL
1 - 1
OSA
28%
33%
39%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
ZAM
2 - 0
TAL
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
TAL
1 - 0
CLH
61%
21%
19%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Gimnastico Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
GIM
3 - 2
TAL
14%
21%
65%
|
9 | 39 | 30 | 0 |