Erciyes 38 vs Turgutluspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
36.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
15º
10º
11
9º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 67 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 62 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 61 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 60 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 50 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 50 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 46 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 39 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 38 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 34 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 33 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 30 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 24 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 23 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 20 |
16º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 30.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 69.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erciyes 38
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SGS
1 - 0
TAL
68%
19%
14%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
TAL
0 - 1
ZON
24%
24%
51%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
KAY
1 - 0
TAL
93%
6%
1%
|
33 | 82 | 49 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
TAL
0 - 2
KIR
35%
25%
40%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
KAH
2 - 1
TAL
32%
22%
46%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Turgutluspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
TUR
5 - 2
POL
40%
23%
38%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
NBF
3 - 0
TUR
33%
22%
45%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BER
1 - 1
TUR
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 1
NBS
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ORD
4 - 0
TUR
83%
11%
5%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |