Erciyes 38 vs Polatlı 1926 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
27.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
15º
10º
18
9º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 67 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 62 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 61 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 60 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 50 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 50 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 46 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 39 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 38 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 34 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 33 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 30 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 24 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 23 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 20 |
16º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erciyes 38
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
NBF
1 - 1
TAL
26%
21%
53%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
ANK
3 - 0
TAL
74%
17%
10%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
TAL
3 - 2
BER
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
NBS
2 - 0
TAL
14%
18%
69%
|
37 | 11 | 26 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
TAL
2 - 1
ORD
21%
22%
56%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Polatlı 1926
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
POL
0 - 2
EDI
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
POL
3 - 4
NBF
73%
15%
12%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BER
5 - 3
POL
59%
19%
23%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
POL
2 - 1
NBS
84%
10%
6%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
ELA
3 - 2
POL
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |