Erciyes 38 vs Mardin Fosfat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
46.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
15º
10º
40
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 67 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 62 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 61 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 60 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 50 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 50 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 46 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 39 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 38 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 34 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 33 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 30 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 24 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 23 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 20 |
16º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 14% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 23.5% |
|
Next round
|
1% | 62% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erciyes 38
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
TAL
0 - 0
TUR
41%
22%
37%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SGS
1 - 0
TAL
68%
19%
14%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
TAL
0 - 1
ZON
24%
24%
51%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
KAY
1 - 0
TAL
93%
6%
1%
|
34 | 82 | 48 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
TAL
0 - 2
KIR
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Mardin Fosfat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
NBF
0 - 1
MBB
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
MBB
4 - 1
BER
63%
22%
16%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
NBS
0 - 2
MBB
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ORD
4 - 0
MBB
67%
19%
13%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
MBB
6 - 1
EDI
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |