Erciyes 38 vs Denizlispor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
52.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-71%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
15º
10º
7
2º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 67 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 62 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 61 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 60 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 50 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 50 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 46 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 39 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 38 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 34 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 33 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
7 | 30 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 24 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 23 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 20 |
16º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 81% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 19% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erciyes 38
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TUR
0 - 2
TAL
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 1
SGS
25%
24%
52%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ZON
2 - 0
TAL
69%
19%
13%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ABS
3 - 4
TAL
29%
22%
49%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TAL
2 - 1
AHP
23%
22%
55%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +3 |
Matches
Denizlispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
DEN
1 - 1
POL
67%
18%
14%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NBF
1 - 1
DEN
9%
14%
77%
|
48 | 8 | 40 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
BUC
0 - 0
DEN
7%
13%
80%
|
48 | 11 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
DEN
3 - 1
BER
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
DEN
50%
26%
25%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |