Takapuna vs Manurewa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
26.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
8º
12º
11º
36
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 15 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
12 | 15 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Takapuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
HAW
1 - 0
TAK
88%
8%
4%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
TAK
0 - 3
WES
17%
18%
65%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
TAK
0 - 1
MEL
21%
19%
61%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
MEL
1 - 1
TAK
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
TAK
2 - 0
WAU
71%
16%
13%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Manurewa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 3
EAS
8%
13%
79%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
MEL
5 - 2
MAN
78%
13%
9%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
AUC
7 - 0
MAN
91%
7%
2%
|
21 | 57 | 36 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 2
AFC
11%
16%
73%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
WCR
0 - 4
MAN
45%
21%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |