Thailand vs Suriname analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
THA
2 - 0
NPL
86%
11%
3%
|
71 | 37 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
THA
2 - 2
IDN
70%
18%
11%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2021 |
IDN
0 - 4
THA
15%
18%
67%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
THA
0 - 0
VIE
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2021 |
VIE
0 - 2
THA
31%
23%
46%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Suriname
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
SUR
2 - 1
GUY
60%
22%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
SUR
1 - 0
BRB
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
SUR
2 - 1
GLP
44%
25%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SUR
1 - 2
CRC
11%
19%
69%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
JAM
2 - 0
SUR
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | -1 |