Thailand vs Sri Lanka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.3%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.4%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
14%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.2%
2.4%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
THA
2 - 0
QAT
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2001 |
THA
1 - 5
CHN
45%
24%
32%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2001 |
THA
1 - 3
QAT
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2001 |
THA
1 - 4
SWE
21%
26%
52%
|
76 | 94 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2001 |
THA
3 - 1
KGZ
90%
7%
2%
|
76 | 43 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2001 |
SCG
6 - 0
LKA
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 76 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2001 |
LKA
1 - 0
KHM
64%
19%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2000 |
SGP
2 - 0
LKA
74%
16%
11%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
SGP
4 - 0
LKA
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2000 |
MAS
3 - 1
LKA
70%
18%
13%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |