ASEAN Championship Final
Global 4-3
Thailand vs Malaysia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2014 |
THA
3 - 0
PHL
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
PHL
0 - 0
THA
12%
17%
71%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
THA
2 - 0
MMR
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
MAS
2 - 3
THA
8%
15%
78%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SGP
1 - 2
THA
13%
17%
70%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Malaysia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
VIE
2 - 4
MAS
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MAS
1 - 2
VIE
28%
25%
47%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SGP
1 - 3
MAS
56%
22%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
MAS
2 - 3
THA
8%
15%
78%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MAS
0 - 0
MMR
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |