Thailand vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
MMR
1 - 3
THA
7%
13%
80%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
AUS
2 - 1
THA
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
THA
1 - 2
IRQ
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
THA
3 - 0
PRK
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
THA
1 - 1
UAE
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
IRQ
2 - 1
KEN
67%
22%
11%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MOZ
1 - 1
KEN
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
KEN
1 - 1
MTN
37%
28%
36%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
SLE
2 - 1
KEN
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2017 |
KEN
0 - 0
MWI
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |