Thailand vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
74.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2004 |
IRN
3 - 0
THA
75%
15%
10%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
THA
3 - 2
TTO
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2004 |
THA
0 - 0
JOR
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2004 |
THA
0 - 2
BHR
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
THA
1 - 4
PRK
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2004 |
JPN
1 - 0
OMA
84%
12%
5%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2004 |
JPN
1 - 0
SCG
85%
11%
4%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2004 |
JPN
3 - 1
SVK
67%
21%
12%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
JPN
7 - 0
IND
79%
15%
6%
|
91 | 55 | 36 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2004 |
ENG
1 - 1
JPN
70%
19%
11%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | +1 |