Thailand vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
41.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1966 |
THA
0 - 2
SGP
52%
22%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1966 |
THA
1 - 1
MMR
52%
21%
27%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1966 |
THA
3 - 0
KOR
40%
22%
39%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 1966 |
VIE
4 - 1
THA
66%
17%
17%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1966 |
THA
1 - 1
MAS
46%
23%
31%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1966 |
SGP
1 - 5
JPN
45%
21%
34%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1966 |
JPN
1 - 0
MAS
71%
15%
14%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
JPN
3 - 1
IRN
54%
20%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1966 |
JPN
2 - 1
IND
55%
20%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1965 |
MAS
1 - 1
JPN
53%
20%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |