Thailand vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
THA
3 - 0
PRK
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
THA
1 - 1
UAE
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2017 |
UZB
2 - 0
THA
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
JPN
4 - 0
THA
78%
14%
8%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
THA
0 - 3
KSA
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
IRQ
1 - 1
JPN
15%
23%
61%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
IRQ
0 - 0
KOR
19%
26%
55%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
IRQ
1 - 0
JOR
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
KSA
1 - 0
IRQ
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
IRQ
1 - 1
AUS
20%
25%
55%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |