Thailand vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
70.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.9%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2007 |
THA
1 - 0
CHN
33%
26%
42%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
THA
1 - 1
SGP
74%
16%
10%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
SGP
2 - 1
THA
27%
23%
50%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
THA
0 - 0
VIE
73%
16%
11%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
VIE
0 - 2
THA
24%
22%
55%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
KOR
0 - 2
NED
15%
23%
62%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
SVN
0 - 1
NED
11%
20%
69%
|
98 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
NED
0 - 0
ROU
64%
22%
15%
|
98 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
NED
4 - 1
RUS
71%
19%
10%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
NED
1 - 1
ENG
50%
26%
24%
|
98 | 98 | 0 | 0 |