Thailand vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
THA
0 - 7
BRA
8%
18%
74%
|
73 | 100 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
THA
0 - 0
FIN
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
THA
2 - 0
VIE
83%
12%
5%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 1999 |
THA
2 - 0
SGP
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1999 |
THA
7 - 0
MMR
75%
15%
10%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
FIN
4 - 2
EST
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
GRC
2 - 2
EST
84%
11%
5%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1999 |
EST
1 - 1
TKM
51%
24%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1999 |
SCG
2 - 2
EST
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
IRQ
1 - 1
EST
88%
9%
3%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | +1 |