Thailand vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
58%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2004 |
THA
3 - 1
PHL
87%
9%
4%
|
72 | 34 | 38 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2004 |
MAS
2 - 1
THA
20%
22%
58%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2004 |
THA
1 - 1
MMR
83%
11%
6%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2004 |
THA
4 - 5
SVK
43%
26%
32%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2004 |
THA
4 - 3
EST
62%
20%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
KOR
3 - 1
GER
27%
27%
46%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2004 |
JPN
0 - 3
GER
33%
27%
40%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
GER
3 - 0
CMR
81%
13%
6%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
IRN
0 - 2
GER
28%
27%
45%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
GER
1 - 1
BRA
37%
25%
38%
|
95 | 98 | 3 | 0 |