Thailand vs Indonesia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
THA
2 - 2
TJK
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2021 |
THA
0 - 1
OMN
37%
26%
36%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
VNM
0 - 0
THA
32%
23%
45%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
MYS
2 - 1
THA
6%
13%
81%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
THA
2 - 1
ARE
33%
27%
39%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
IDN
1 - 3
OMN
14%
22%
63%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2021 |
IDN
2 - 3
AFG
64%
18%
17%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
MYS
2 - 0
IDN
34%
24%
42%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
IDN
1 - 3
VNM
21%
22%
57%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
ARE
5 - 0
IDN
81%
14%
5%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | -1 |