ASEAN Championship Final
Global 3-2
Thailand vs Indonesia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
14.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
IDN
2 - 1
THA
15%
19%
66%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
THA
4 - 0
MMR
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MMR
0 - 2
THA
7%
14%
79%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
PHL
0 - 1
THA
15%
18%
67%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
THA
1 - 0
SGP
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
IDN
2 - 1
THA
15%
19%
66%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
VIE
2 - 2
IDN
54%
22%
24%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
IDN
2 - 1
VIE
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
SGP
1 - 2
IDN
30%
23%
47%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
PHL
2 - 2
IDN
45%
23%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |