ASEAN Championship Semi-finals
Global 3-0
Thailand vs Philippines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
PHL
0 - 0
THA
12%
17%
71%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
THA
2 - 0
MMR
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
MAS
2 - 3
THA
8%
15%
78%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SGP
1 - 2
THA
13%
17%
70%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
THA
2 - 0
NZL
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Philippines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
PHL
0 - 0
THA
12%
17%
71%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
VIE
3 - 1
PHL
45%
24%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
PHL
4 - 0
IDN
34%
24%
42%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
PHL
4 - 1
LAO
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
PHL
3 - 0
KHM
71%
18%
12%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |