Thailand vs China analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
48.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
THA
30%
23%
47%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
GEO
8 - 0
THA
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
HKG
0 - 1
THA
10%
16%
74%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
TWN
2 - 2
THA
8%
14%
78%
|
69 | 37 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
UAE
2 - 0
THA
53%
22%
25%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
CHN
1 - 2
UZB
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
CHN
2 - 0
VIE
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
CHN
0 - 1
SYR
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CHN
1 - 1
MAS
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
CHN
2 - 0
PLE
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |