Taian Tiankuang vs Jiangxi Dark Horse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
9.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
7º
2º
29
3º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
29 | 21 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 16 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 16 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 15 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
|
1º
|
29 | 15 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 14 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 14 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 11 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 9 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 8 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taian Tiankuang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TTF
1 - 3
SSP
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HSF
2 - 2
TTF
19%
23%
58%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
QYF
1 - 2
TTF
17%
22%
61%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
XIR
1 - 0
TTF
14%
21%
65%
|
50 | 9 | 41 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
TTF
2 - 1
HFC
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Jiangxi Dark Horse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
JIA
0 - 1
XIR
79%
14%
8%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
RZY
1 - 1
JIA
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
JIA
1 - 0
BIT
38%
23%
39%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
JIA
53%
22%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
JIA
0 - 1
GGZ
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |