Tahuna vs Nelson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
76.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tahuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
FCN
3 - 2
TAH
86%
10%
3%
|
9 | 60 | 51 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
FCN
4 - 0
TAH
81%
13%
6%
|
9 | 60 | 51 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
NSF
7 - 0
TAH
79%
13%
8%
|
10 | 36 | 26 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
TAH
1 - 0
49%
21%
30%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nelson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FCN
9 - 0
MAF
81%
13%
6%
|
60 | 9 | 51 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MAF
2 - 1
FCN
5%
12%
83%
|
60 | 8 | 52 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
FCN
5 - 2
GBA
84%
12%
5%
|
60 | 9 | 51 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
FCN
0 - 6
NSF
84%
11%
5%
|
60 | 28 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FCN
3 - 2
TAH
86%
10%
3%
|
60 | 9 | 51 | 0 |