Tahiti vs Papua New Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tahiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
PNG
1 - 3
TAH
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SOL
1 - 0
TAH
22%
24%
54%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
TAH
3 - 0
SOL
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
TAH
1 - 1
NCL
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
PNG
2 - 2
TAH
24%
24%
53%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Papua New Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
PNG
1 - 3
TAH
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2016 |
MAS
2 - 1
PNG
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
IRN
8 - 1
PNG
95%
5%
1%
|
44 | 87 | 43 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2016 |
PNG
2 - 0
MAS
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +3 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
NZL
0 - 0
PNG
80%
15%
6%
|
40 | 68 | 28 | +1 |