Tahiti vs New Caledonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
43.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tahiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
PNG
2 - 2
TAH
24%
24%
53%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
TAH
4 - 0
SAM
75%
17%
8%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
URU
8 - 0
TAH
88%
9%
3%
|
45 | 91 | 46 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2013 |
ESP
10 - 0
TAH
92%
7%
1%
|
45 | 99 | 54 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2013 |
TAH
1 - 6
NGA
6%
18%
76%
|
45 | 87 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
NCL
7 - 0
SAM
81%
13%
6%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
PNG
1 - 1
NCL
17%
22%
61%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
VAN
2 - 1
NCL
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
NCL
1 - 0
TAH
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
NZL
2 - 1
NCL
77%
16%
8%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |