Tahiti vs New Caledonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tahiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 10
TAH
12%
20%
68%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
TAH
1 - 0
NCL
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
TAH
1 - 3
NCL
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
NCL
3 - 5
TAH
55%
23%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
NZL
1 - 0
TAH
78%
15%
7%
|
44 | 72 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
VAN
2 - 5
NCL
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
NCL
1 - 3
REU
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
NCL
2 - 4
REU
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
TAH
1 - 0
NCL
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
TAH
1 - 3
NCL
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |