Tahiti vs New Caledonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tahiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2004 |
TAH
2 - 0
COK
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2003 |
TAH
0 - 1
VAN
71%
17%
13%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2003 |
PHL
2 - 1
TAH
37%
23%
41%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2003 |
TAH
4 - 0
TON
81%
12%
7%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2003 |
TAH
3 - 0
PNG
73%
16%
11%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2002 |
NCL
0 - 1
VAN
53%
23%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2002 |
AUS
11 - 0
NCL
86%
11%
3%
|
39 | 90 | 51 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
FIJ
2 - 1
NCL
80%
13%
7%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
SOL
2 - 4
NCL
65%
18%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
NCL
2 - 1
FIJ
70%
17%
13%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -6 |