Tahiti vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.8%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.1%
+1
4.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.9%
76.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
19.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0%
-1
26.8%
0-2
18.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
23.8%
0-3
12.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
14.8%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tahiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
NCL
1 - 0
TAH
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
TAH
2 - 0
SOL
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
NZL
3 - 0
TAH
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
TAH
0 - 2
NZL
6%
14%
80%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
TAH
0 - 4
NCL
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2013 |
NAM
1 - 1
NGA
20%
28%
52%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
KEN
0 - 1
NGA
19%
28%
53%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
MEX
2 - 2
NGA
68%
21%
12%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
NGA
1 - 1
KEN
83%
13%
4%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
NGA
1 - 0
BFA
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | +1 |