Tahiti vs Cook Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tahiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
TAH
2 - 1
NCL
25%
22%
53%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
TAH
0 - 2
NCL
28%
23%
49%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
NZL
1 - 0
TAH
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
SOL
3 - 1
TAH
36%
25%
38%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
FIJ
1 - 1
TAH
46%
23%
31%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cook Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
COK
0 - 2
SOL
24%
24%
52%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
ASA
2 - 0
COK
8%
16%
76%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | +8 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
COK
1 - 0
SAM
46%
24%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
TON
0 - 3
COK
27%
24%
49%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
TON
2 - 1
COK
19%
23%
58%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |