Tahiti vs Fiji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tahiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
NZL
5 - 0
TAH
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
FIJ
1 - 0
TAH
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
PNG
1 - 1
TAH
19%
22%
59%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
TAH
2 - 0
SAM
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
TAH
1 - 1
COK
61%
21%
19%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Fiji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
FIJ
1 - 2
VAN
61%
21%
17%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
FIJ
1 - 0
TAH
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 9
FIJ
18%
23%
60%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
PNG
1 - 5
FIJ
19%
23%
59%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
SOL
0 - 2
FIJ
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |