Tahiti vs Fiji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
53.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tahiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2004 |
SOL
1 - 1
TAH
36%
24%
40%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2004 |
TAH
2 - 0
TON
88%
10%
3%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
TAH
0 - 0
NCL
68%
19%
14%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2004 |
TAH
2 - 0
COK
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2003 |
TAH
0 - 1
VAN
71%
17%
13%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fiji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2004 |
FIJ
0 - 3
VAN
84%
12%
5%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2004 |
SAM
0 - 4
FIJ
9%
18%
74%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
FIJ
11 - 0
ASA
94%
5%
1%
|
54 | 5 | 49 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
FIJ
4 - 2
PNG
86%
10%
4%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2002 |
AUS
8 - 0
FIJ
83%
13%
4%
|
55 | 90 | 35 | -1 |