Tahiti vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
51%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tahiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
SOL
4 - 1
TAH
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1997 |
AUS
5 - 0
TAH
76%
17%
7%
|
47 | 86 | 39 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1996 |
AUS
5 - 0
TAH
75%
18%
7%
|
47 | 85 | 38 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
TAH
0 - 6
AUS
24%
29%
47%
|
47 | 85 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1996 |
TAH
2 - 1
SOL
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1997 |
SOL
2 - 6
AUS
21%
28%
51%
|
86 | 41 | 45 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1997 |
AUS
5 - 0
TAH
76%
17%
7%
|
86 | 47 | 39 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1997 |
AUS
13 - 0
SOL
78%
17%
6%
|
86 | 38 | 48 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1997 |
HUN
1 - 3
AUS
53%
27%
21%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1997 |
MKD
0 - 1
AUS
22%
26%
52%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | +1 |