OFC Nations Cup Final
Global 0-11
Tahiti vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
47.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tahiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1996 |
TAH
2 - 1
SOL
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1995 |
SOL
0 - 1
TAH
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
TAH
2 - 0
COK
69%
17%
14%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1995 |
TAH
3 - 0
VAN
70%
17%
13%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
TAH
4 - 2
COK
68%
18%
14%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
KSA
0 - 0
AUS
47%
28%
25%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
KEN
0 - 4
AUS
21%
27%
52%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
RSA
2 - 0
AUS
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
GHA
0 - 2
AUS
35%
32%
34%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1996 |
CHI
3 - 0
AUS
62%
23%
15%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |