Tahiti vs Samoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tahiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
TAH
1 - 1
COK
61%
21%
19%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
TAH
2 - 1
NCL
25%
22%
53%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
TAH
0 - 2
NCL
28%
23%
49%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
NZL
1 - 0
TAH
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
SOL
3 - 1
TAH
36%
25%
38%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Samoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 8
PNG
18%
22%
61%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
NCL
7 - 0
SAM
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
TAH
4 - 0
SAM
75%
17%
8%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
TON
0 - 3
SAM
21%
22%
57%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
COK
1 - 0
SAM
46%
24%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |