Tahiti vs Samoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tahiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
URU
8 - 0
TAH
88%
9%
3%
|
46 | 91 | 45 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2013 |
ESP
10 - 0
TAH
92%
7%
1%
|
46 | 99 | 53 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2013 |
TAH
1 - 6
NGA
6%
18%
76%
|
47 | 87 | 40 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
NCL
1 - 0
TAH
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
TAH
2 - 0
SOL
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Samoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
TON
0 - 3
SAM
21%
22%
57%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
COK
1 - 0
SAM
46%
24%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
SAM
3 - 2
ASA
86%
11%
3%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
NCL
9 - 0
SAM
84%
12%
5%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
VAN
5 - 0
SAM
75%
16%
9%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |