OFC Nations Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Tahiti vs Solomon Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tahiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1995 |
SOL
0 - 1
TAH
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
TAH
2 - 0
COK
69%
17%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1995 |
TAH
3 - 0
VAN
70%
17%
13%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
TAH
4 - 2
COK
68%
18%
14%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1994 |
FIJ
2 - 0
TAH
57%
21%
22%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Solomon Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1995 |
SOL
0 - 1
TAH
41%
27%
32%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1992 |
TAH
4 - 2
SOL
51%
26%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1992 |
AUS
6 - 1
SOL
77%
16%
7%
|
39 | 83 | 44 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1992 |
SOL
1 - 2
AUS
28%
30%
42%
|
39 | 83 | 44 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1992 |
VAN
1 - 3
SOL
57%
21%
21%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |