Taguatinga vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taguatinga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
GAM
0 - 0
TAG
29%
23%
48%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
TAG
1 - 1
SED
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
PAR
4 - 2
TAG
12%
18%
71%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
TAG
3 - 2
LUZ
66%
20%
13%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CAP
1 - 1
TAG
25%
23%
52%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CEI
1 - 0
SED
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
LUZ
1 - 3
CEI
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CEI
2 - 1
BRA
48%
25%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 3
CEI
13%
18%
69%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CEI
3 - 0
GAM
37%
26%
38%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |