Tägerwilen vs Wil II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
76.2%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
8º
16º
15º
47
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tägerwilen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DSG
1 - 2
TAG
82%
12%
7%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
TAG
1 - 0
FCB
23%
20%
57%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FCT
5 - 2
TAG
86%
9%
5%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TAG
3 - 1
DUB
17%
18%
66%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
UST
1 - 1
TAG
86%
10%
4%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Wil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 1
SVS
37%
21%
42%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CHU
1 - 3
WIL
43%
22%
35%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
WIL
5 - 0
FRA
49%
20%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
3 - 3
WIL
47%
22%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
WIL
2 - 3
WID
51%
20%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |